Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.037845 0.041268 0.044728 0.048481 0.052430 0.056455 0.060863
2025-09-14 0.032840 0.037927 0.043249 0.049208 0.055670 0.062441 0.070050
2025-09-21 0.028733 0.034971 0.041705 0.049457 0.058076 0.067313 0.077906
2025-09-28 0.026234 0.033440 0.041431 0.050845 0.061530 0.073187 0.086773
2025-10-05 0.023006 0.030751 0.039573 0.050206 0.062515 0.076171 0.092323
2025-10-12 0.020701 0.028908 0.038493 0.050278 0.064157 0.079775 0.098478
2025-10-19 0.019042 0.027684 0.038003 0.050919 0.066356 0.083941 0.105219
2025-10-26 0.017797 0.026853 0.037890 0.051926 0.068921 0.088486 0.112370
2025-11-02 0.015377 0.024346 0.035562 0.050113 0.068012 0.088881 0.114629
2025-11-09 0.013854 0.022889 0.034447 0.049696 0.068705 0.091101 0.118972
2025-11-16 0.012528 0.021595 0.033454 0.049355 0.069429 0.093311 0.123270
2025-11-23 0.012035 0.021411 0.033876 0.050785 0.072324 0.098125 0.130672
2025-11-30 0.011364 0.020952 0.033935 0.051774 0.074718 0.102408 0.137545
2025-12-07 0.010604 0.020314 0.033715 0.052378 0.076621 0.106100 0.143731
2025-12-14 0.009766 0.019496 0.033205 0.052564 0.077972 0.109105 0.149090
2025-12-21 0.009395 0.019362 0.033623 0.053973 0.080885 0.114046 0.156825
2025-12-28 0.008408 0.018191 0.032523 0.053293 0.081068 0.115572 0.160370
2026-01-04 0.007726 0.017453 0.031999 0.053361 0.082195 0.118262 0.165337
2026-01-11 0.007266 0.017043 0.031924 0.054023 0.084087 0.121906 0.171483
2026-01-18 0.006941 0.016836 0.032131 0.055068 0.086482 0.126189 0.178434
2026-01-25 0.005909 0.015313 0.030296 0.053183 0.084929 0.125418 0.179057
2026-02-01 0.005312 0.014509 0.029511 0.052750 0.085290 0.127070 0.182698
2026-02-08 0.004782 0.013780 0.028803 0.052396 0.085735 0.128813 0.186445